College Meltdown 2.1

The Higher Education Inquirer has added three companies to its College Meltdown watchlist: Ambow Education (AMBO),  SoFi (SOFI), and Adtalem (ATGE).  

Leading the way is National American University Holdings (NAUH), which is down to less than $50,000 in cash.  Ambow Education (AMBO) and Aspen Group (ASPU) are near penny stock territory and Barnes and Noble Education (BNED) and SoFi (SOFI) are also in deep financial trouble. 

Declining share price is not the only factor to make the College Meltdown list.  Government contractor Maximus (MMS), for example, is on the list for its predatory behavior with student debtors and its own workers, as well as its questionable contracts with the US Department of Education. 

Adtalem makes the list for continuing to put lots of working-class folks (particularly women and people of color) into a lifetime of student loan debt. 

2U is identified for its fleecing of its clients (universities), end customers (students) and shareholders.  In its last annual report, the company told shareholders that the number one risk was that it may never make a profit.  

2U (TWOU) Shares have dropped 70 percent over the last year (Source: Seeking Alpha) 

Shares of student loan refinance company SoFi (SOFI) are down 70 percent over the last year 

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Barnes and Noble Education (BNED) shares have dropped 66 percent over the last 6 months.

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Aspen Group (ASPU) shares have declined 82 percent over the last year. 

(Source: Seeking Alpha) 

Related link: College Meltdown 2.0

Related link: Maximus, Student Loan Debt, and the Poverty Industrial Complex

Related link: Online Program Manager for University of Arizona Global Campus Facing Financial Collapse

Related link: College Meltdown 2.0

Related link: 2U Virus Expands College Meltdown to Elite Universities

Higher Ed Became More Brutal During 2020-21 Pandemic

The Covid-19 pandemic was the largest news item in US higher education in 2020 and the beginning of 2021.  It certainly had an effect on higher education enrollment and revenues.   But the larger story, according to author Gary Roth, was that the “College Dream is Over.”  

College is supposed to be a transitional space between K-12 education and good jobs. But savage inequalities in the K-12 pipeline, alienating and sometimes questionably substandard online education, and fewer good jobs at the end of the pipeline meant that more students would be unprepared for college and for work life in the brutal tech (fintech, medtech, and edtech) and gig economy.  

Banks and big businesses (including brand name universities and for-profit colleges ) were bailed out twice in 2020 by the federal government as student debtors only got temporarily relief.  

Savage inequalities in the K-12 pipeline intensified with online education and the hollowing out of America continued.  

Under the Trump administration, privatization, deregulation, and lack of transparency  (in gainful employment, defense to repayment, student loan repayment rate) were the rule.  2021 shows promise for progressive change, but we'll have to wait and see if anything gets done to reduce the College Meltdown.  

• The Student Debt Crisis is a Crisis of Non-Repayment (Marshall Steinbaum)
• More people with bachelor’s degrees go back to school to learn skilled trades (John Marcus, Hechinger Report)
• Student Loan Losses Seen Costing U.S. More Than $400 Billion (Josh Mitchell, Wal Street Journal)
• Nearly All States Suffer Declines in Education Jobs (Barb Rosewicz & Mike Maciag, Pew)
• COVID-19 Will Likely Shrink Job Market For College Grads (Government Executive)
• Law student debt averages about $165K at graduation, creating stress and restricting choices, survey says (Debra Cassens Weiss, ABA Journal)
• Higher Ed's Dirty Little Secrets (Steven Mintz, Inside Higher Education)
• Colleges Slash Budgets in the Pandemic, With ‘Nothing Off-Limits’ (Shawn Hubler, NY Times)
• Permamanent Budget Cuts Are Coming (Robert Kelchen, CHE)
• A Separate And Unequal System of College Admissions (Anthony Abraham, NY Times)
• House Democrats Drop Canceling Student Loans (Kery Murakami, IHE)
• College Town Economies Brace for Covid Blow (WSJ)
• 30 college towns that could face economic ruin if schools don't reopen or have to close again this fall (Madison Hoff, Business Insider)
• Laureate Education to Sell Walden University to Adtalem Global Education (Market Watch)
• 'It's going horribly': College towns fret about census count (ABC News)
• Student Loans Plummeted for the Summer Term (Kevin Miller, The Century Foundation)
• University of Arizona Acquires Ashford University (IHE, Lindsay McKenzie)
• The Nightmare That Colleges Face This Fall (Adam Harris, The Atlantic)
• No students. No graduation. ‘Total devastation’ in college towns during coronavirus pandemic (Zoe Nicholson and Ed Semmler,Yahoo Finance)
• University Leaders Are Failing (François Furstenberg, Chronicle of Higher Education)
• The Coming Disruption of Higher Education (New York interview with Scott Galloway)
• Demand for refunds intensifies among college students (Jessica Dickler, CNBC)
• Latest Coronavirus News (Inside Higher Education)
• Coronavirus Pushes Colleges to the Breaking Point, Forcing 'Hard Choices' about Education (Wall Street Journal)
• Adjuncts Barely Getting By (Colleen Flaherty, IHE)
• Students are considering dropping out of college because of coronavirus (Abigail Hess, MSN.com)
• Will Parents Pay? (Scott Jaschik, Inside Higher Ed)
• Masters of None (Grace Gedye, Washington Monthly)
• Public Colleges Face Looming Financial Blow (Kery Murakami, Inside Higher Education)
• With May 1 'Decision Day' Looming, 69 Percent of Parents and 55 Percent of Students Say Coronavirus Has Impacted Their Ability to Pay for College (KPVI)
• ‘I Was Horrified’: For Millions of Borrowers, the Coronavirus Stimulus Law Offers No Relief (Danielle McLean, Chronicle of Higher Education)
• Preparing for a Fall Without In-Person Classes (Doug Lederman, Inside Higher Education)
• Presidents Fear Financial, and Human, Toll of Coronavirus (Doug Lederman, Inside Higher Education)
• Will spring breakers become super-spreaders? (Politico)
• The Real Lesson of the College Closures (Saahil Desai, The Atlantic)
• To Fight Coronavirus, Colleges Sent Students Home. Now Will They Refund Tuition? (Melissa Korn and Douglas Belkin, Wall St. Journal)
• The Covid-19 Crisis Is Widening the Gap Between Secure and Insecure Instructors (Megan Zahneis, Chronicle of Higher Education)
• Moody's lowers higher ed outlook to negative amid coronavirus crisis (Jeremy Bauer-Wolf, Education Dive)
• What Is a College Education in the Time of Coronavirus? (NY Times Opinion)
• Community Colleges and the Coronavirus (Madeline St. Amour, Inside Higher Education)
• California AG sues Betsy DeVos for overturning Obama-era rule aimed at for-profit colleges (Aarthi Swaminathan, Yahoo Finance)
• Coronavirus and Admissions Fears (Scott Jaschick, Inside Higher Education)
• Already stretched universities now face huge endowment losses from market meltdown (PBS, Jon Marcus)
• Uncertain Fate for Support Staff (Lilah Burke, IHE)
• 41% of Recent Grads Work in Jobs Not Requiring a Degree (Inside Higher Education)

Subprime College Crash Continues Under the Radar

The subprime college crash continues for the seventh consecutive year with little attention from the government or media.

Subprime is a more appropriate name than for-profit, because several non-profit schools offer limited value at a high price. Campus closings, steep decreases in enrollment, low student loan repayment rates, low graduation rates, and low returns on investment are strong  indicators of "subprime."

University of Phoenix, now part of Apollo Global Management, continues to close campuses. In total, they have closed more than 450 campuses and learning sites. I expect UoPX to close half of their remaining campuses in the next 12-18 months.

Art Institutes are closing most of their campuses in 2018 after being taken over by Dream Center Education Holdings.  David Halperin has been covering the story in the Huffington Post, but it has received little attention.  Argosy University, another system of DCEH schools, is teaching out at least 14 campuses.




DeVry University will be closing more campuses after their parent company, Adtalem, dumped their brand and practically gave it away to Cogswell Education/Palm Ventures. They have already closed eight sites in 2018. Over the past few years, DeVry has closed 44 of their 90 learning sites.

National American University (NAUH) is in major trouble. Their stock price has been struggling at $1 a share, making it vulnerable to delisting. T. Rowe Price is keeping it propped up. NAUH recently mortgaged their real estate for $8M.



Zenith (ECMC) is completely out of subprime college ownership. The former Corinthian Colleges was propped up by the non-profit student loan company with help from the government.

Kaplan University is now operating as Purdue University Global. But the school remains a subprime effort despite fraudulent claims that it offers a "world-class education."

Ashford University (Bridgepoint) continues to profit amidst state and federal investigations, but enrollment is down as it pursues non-profit status.

Strayer is buying out Capella. The new company is still STRA, but it's known as Strategic Education.